New state polling from Wisconsin has moved that state from “Leans Democratic” to “Likely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_c… blocked::http://www.rasmussenreports.com/…on/election_20″ target=”_self”>Balance of Power Calculator
. With this change, Obama leads in states with 248 Electoral College votes while McCain is ahead in states with 163 Electoral College votes. When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 300, McCain 174.
Currently, states with 63 Electoral College votes are leaning slightly in one way or the other. Five states with a total of 64 votes — North Carolina, Ohio, Missouri, http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_c… blocked::http://www.rasmussenreports.com/…tial_election/” target=”_self”>Nevada
, and http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_c… blocked::http://www.rasmussenreports.com/…idential_elect” target=”_self”>Virginia — are pure toss-ups.
State-by-state rankings are summarized in the following table…
|
Safe |
Likely |
Leans |
Toss |
Leans |
Likely |
Safe |
|
DC (3) |
||||||
|
HI (4) |
||||||
This Balance of Power Calculator aggregates data from a variety of sources to provide a comprehensive assessment of the state-by-state race for the White House. Data inputs include the latest Rasmussen Reports poll in a state, an average of the latest polling from other firms (the “538 Average”), Rasmussen Markets data, http://partners.tradesports.com/adclick…. blocked::http://partners.tradesports.com/…amp;bannerid=2 http://partners.tradesports.com/ad” target=”_blank”>Intrade
market data, the aggregated rankings of selected analysts, the state’s voting history and national trends.
As a practical matter, all of the state-by-state changes are driven by the changes seen nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
Source: rasmussenreports.com via politisite
Tags: Ohio | Virginia | Missouri | Wisconsin | Nevada | National | Poll | college | race | power | World | House | data | Carolina | safe | latest | McCain | Obama | DEMOCRATIC | white | ELECTORAL | VOTES | State | analysts | Rankings | leads | CALCULATOR | LEANS | state-by-state | Intrade
